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The Federal Reserve and Mortgage Rates
Understanding What Causes Interest Rate Movement
Consumers
are often misled when it comes to the subject of the Federal Reserve and
how it affects mortgage interest rates. Often the media is the culprit
causing the confusion. In the last few years, the Fed has taken action
that caused mortgage interest rates to move in a direction other than
what consumers expected, because the media provided weak reporting on
the subject.
The Federal Reserve affects short-term interest rate maturities, the Fed
Funds rate, and the Overnight Lending rate. These factors have a direct
impact on the Prime rate. If you took only this into consideration, you
may mistakenly conclude that changes made by the Fed will cause a
similar movement in mortgage interest rates. However, mortgage interest
rates are dictated by the trading of mortgage-backed securities, which
trade on a daily basis. The real dynamic at the heart of interest rate
movement is the relationship between stocks and bonds.
Stocks and bonds compete for the same investment dollar on a daily
basis. There is literally only so much money to be invested. When the
Federal Reserve feels that interest rates need to be decreased
in an effort to stimulate the economy, this reduction in rates can often
cause a stock market rally. When the market becomes bullish, the money
to invest in stocks comes from the selling of mortgage-backed
securities.
Unfortunately, selling mortgage-backed securities to fuel stock market
rallies causes interest rates to go up, not down.
Historically, there have been many times when the Federal Reserve has
increased interest rates. Stocks then sell off in fear that the
increase will affect corporate profit margins, and the liquidated stock
assets need a place to park until the next rally comes along. The safe
haven is found in mortgage-backed securities which cause mortgage rates
to drop.
The daily ebb and flow of money is what matters most when it comes to
the movement of mortgage interest rates. I make it a point to
continuously monitor interest rates for my clients, and advise them of
opportunities to manage their mortgage debt at a better rate. This is
the foundation of my business model as a Trusted Advisor.
Let's discuss how we can better educate our clients on the
largest purchase they'll ever make! |